Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 8.155668e-05 0.000097 0.000113 0.000132 0.000153 0.000176 0.000201
2025-02-09 5.862257e-05 0.000079 0.000102 0.000130 0.000163 0.000201 0.000245
2025-02-16 5.063746e-05 0.000073 0.000100 0.000135 0.000177 0.000226 0.000286
2025-02-23 4.172784e-05 0.000066 0.000096 0.000136 0.000186 0.000246 0.000321
2025-03-02 3.314789e-05 0.000057 0.000088 0.000131 0.000186 0.000254 0.000341
2025-03-09 2.662040e-05 0.000050 0.000082 0.000127 0.000188 0.000264 0.000362
2025-03-16 2.228307e-05 0.000045 0.000078 0.000127 0.000193 0.000276 0.000387
2025-03-23 1.906559e-05 0.000042 0.000076 0.000128 0.000199 0.000292 0.000416
2025-03-30 1.589508e-05 0.000038 0.000072 0.000126 0.000203 0.000303 0.000438
2025-04-06 1.276570e-05 0.000033 0.000068 0.000123 0.000203 0.000309 0.000456
2025-04-13 1.092411e-05 0.000031 0.000066 0.000124 0.000209 0.000323 0.000482
2025-04-20 8.373441e-06 0.000027 0.000061 0.000118 0.000206 0.000325 0.000492
2025-04-27 6.937251e-06 0.000025 0.000059 0.000120 0.000213 0.000342 0.000525
2025-05-04 5.391868e-06 0.000022 0.000057 0.000119 0.000217 0.000355 0.000553
2025-05-11 4.720368e-06 0.000021 0.000057 0.000123 0.000228 0.000378 0.000594
2025-05-18 3.838923e-06 0.000020 0.000056 0.000124 0.000235 0.000395 0.000628
2025-05-25 2.642075e-06 0.000017 0.000051 0.000119 0.000232 0.000398 0.000642
2025-06-01 1.848917e-06 0.000014 0.000048 0.000116 0.000232 0.000404 0.000661
2025-06-08 1.352336e-06 0.000013 0.000046 0.000115 0.000236 0.000416 0.000687
2025-06-15 1.028717e-06 0.000012 0.000045 0.000116 0.000242 0.000431 0.000718
2025-06-22 7.069809e-07 0.000011 0.000043 0.000115 0.000244 0.000442 0.000743
2025-06-29 4.233338e-07 0.000009 0.000040 0.000112 0.000243 0.000447 0.000760
2025-07-06 2.901291e-07 0.000008 0.000039 0.000112 0.000249 0.000461 0.000790